Check the meaning of scenario weights before a weighted forecast is quoted as the expected outcome. The download provides a specific review process. It does not make decisions or act in an account.
Download the free skill
One complete Markdown file. No subscription, checkout or fabricated setup files.
Download SKILL.mdWhat to provide
Scenario definitions, outcome values, owner-approved weights and whether cases are mutually exclusive.
How it works
- Check weight units, total and source. Do not invent missing probabilities.
- Confirm cases are exhaustive and mutually exclusive before calculating a weighted mean.
- Calculate only documented weights; separate sensitivity scenarios from probability forecasts.
- Return valid arithmetic and definition blockers for review. Do not promise revenue or move funds.
The output
scenario | value | weight/source | exclusivity | weighted contribution | blocker
Worked fictional example
Fictional cases 100 at 0.6 and 50 at 0.4 give 80 if exclusive. Weights 0.6 and 0.6 sum 1.2; hold and do not normalize silently.
Checks and limits
Preserve source versions and original values. Unknowns stay unknown. Use a qualified reviewer for regulated, legal or hiring decisions. No send, share, account change, schedule, ledger update or payment is authorized. No live account test is claimed.
More finance workflows · How-to guides
Method: reviewed source. Demand lead: GSC financeanalytics8,cashforecast4. These are site-query cluster impressions and method evidence, not exact new-topic monthly search volume or a traffic promise. Checked October 2, 2026.